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Prediction for CME (2015-06-21T02:48:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-06-21T02:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8736/-1 CME Note: From near disk center, AR 12371. Associated with M-class flares. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-22T17:59Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 8.0 Dst min. in nT: -195 Dst min. time: 2015-06-23T05:00Z Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-22T21:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 8.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2015-06-21T04:00Z Radial velocity (km/s): 1300 Longitude (deg): E07 Latitude (deg): N08 Half-angular width (deg): 43 Notes: Space weather advisor:DutyLead Time: 16.98 hour(s) Difference: -3.02 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-06-22T01:00Z |
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